tags: Democratic Primaries 2016
2016
March
- 2016 Mar 1
- Campaigning in Massachusetts
In the event of a Clinton vs. Trump general election, there are probably going to be two large groups of voters who will be inclined to stay home: Sanders voters who think Clinton is too much like a Republican and Republicans who think Trump is too much of a fascist. Clinton has the capacity to get those groups to vote for her, but she's not going to do it by feeding the "I'm above the law" narrative.
· Read more… - 2016 Mar 9
- Superdelegates
It is heartening that The New York Times has decided to separate pledged delegate counts from superdelegate counts.
· Read more… - 2016 Mar 19
- Why Bernie Sanders Has a Right to Stay in the Race
Down by more than 300 pledged delegates, the calls to unite around Hillary Clinton and for Bernie Sanders to drop out have been growing louder.
· Read more… - 2016 Mar 21
- Democrats Abroad
Sanders gets 9 delegates while Clinton gets 4 delegates in the Democrats Abroad primary.
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April
- 2016 Apr 5
- Berniebots
I thought "Berniebot" was just a pejorative term for Sanders supporters (akin to "Obamabot" in the 2008 election without the definite racial component.)
· Read more… - 2016 Apr 12
- Is Bernie Sanders a Democrat?
Especially from the Clinton camp, there has been much talk about how Sanders isn't really a Democrat.
· Read more… - 2016 Apr 13
- Restoring the New Deal
While I totally agree that Clinton is closer to the center than Sanders is, they're still both far to the left of guys like Kasich, Rubio, or Jeb!
· Read more… - 2016 Apr 20
- Legitimacy
Assuming that existing polls hold (there is a paucity of polls in the remaining primaries—there's only really data for CT, MD, PA, CA, and NJ, and absolutely nothing from all of May) and using the national polling data as a guide for how the states without data will go (538 has Clinton at 49.4% and Sanders at 41.7% nationally which will be wildly inaccurate in a lot of states—a lot of those smaller states will probably go heavily towards Sanders—but it's all we've got) there's no realistic way for Clinton to get 2,383 pledged delegates before the convention (she'll probably have just under 2,000 pledged delegates by the end of the DC primary.)
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May
- 2016 May 18
- Schisms
The caveat is, even if Sanders drops out and dedicates his fundraising efforts to Clinton's campaign, that's probably not enough to placate his most ardent supporters.
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June
- 2016 Jun 1
- Political Reality
Unless something catastrophic happens between now and June 7th (like a stock market crash or a banking scandal or a federal indictment or whatever), this is probably how it's going to play out. The more moderate Sanders supporters will resign themselves to voting for Clinton in November and the more radical Sanders supporters will stay home or vote for Jill Stein or Trump or do something else that's totally crazy and counterproductive, and Sanders' personal political future will depend entirely on whether or not he reconciles with the Democratic establishment.
· Read more… - 2016 Jun 6
- There's No Reason for Sanders to Quit Now
It really makes no sense to expect Sanders to quit before the tallies from tomorrow's elections are in.
· Read more… - 2016 Jun 8
- Election Memes
Don't blame me. I voted for Kodos.
· Read more… - 2016 Jun 10
- Vitriol in 2008
While it's probably only a matter of time until the Democratic party manages to unite at least a majority of itself into a force dedicated to ensuring Trump doesn't get elected, Obama's endorsement of Clinton reminds me once again of how much more rancorous the 2008 Democratic primaries were.
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